Influence of environmental factors on the abundance of skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) in west-central Pacific Ocean determined using different models
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1. College of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China;
2. The Key Laboratory of Sustainable Exploitation of Oceanic Fisheries Resources, Shanghai Ocean University, Minis-try of Education, Shanghai 201306, China;
3. National Engineering Research Center for Oceanic Fisheries, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China;
4. Key Laboratory of Oceanic Fisheries Exploration, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Shanghai 201306, Chi-na

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S931

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    Abstract:

    Correlations of the catch per unit effort (CPUE) (based on the catch data of skipjack tuna, caught using the purse seine technique in the west-central Pacific Ocean) with spatial-temporal factors (year, month, latitude, and longitude) and environmental factors (sea surface temperature, SST; sea surface height, SSH; oceanic nino index, ONI; and chlorophyll-a, Chl-a) were analyzed, and the relative importance of CPUE was estimated using two different types of models (Generalized additive model:GAM, and Boosted regression tree:BRT). The results showed that longitude is the most important factor in determining the importance of CPUE using GAM, accounting for more than 50% of the total CPUE, while latitude, year, and month had decreasing importance in the order mentioned. SSH is the most important environmental factor in GAM, and ONI, SST, and Chl-a are less important in determining the importance of CPUE. The result of BRT was similar to that of GAM; longitude is the most important spatial-temporal factor, accounting for 60% of the total importance of CPUE, while year, latitude, and month were of less importance, with their importance decreasing in the order mentioned. ONI is the most important environmental factor in BRT, followed by SSH, SST, and Chl-a, in that order. In conclusion, the two types of models can effectively reflect the influence of CPUE. ENSO induced oceanographic variation will change the abundance distribution of skipjack tuna; so, ONI should be included in fishery forecasting models to improve the accuracy of prediction in future.

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方舟,陈洋洋,陈新军,郭立新. 基于不同模型研究环境因子对中西太平洋鲣资源丰度的影响[J]. Jounal of Fishery Sciences of China, 2018,[volume_no](5):1123-1130

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  • Online: September 29,2018
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