中西太平洋金枪鱼围网鲣渔获率与海洋环境关系的时空异质性
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姜珊(1995–),女,硕士研究生,研究方向为金枪鱼围网鲣渔场.E-mail:1310203589@qq.com

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S931

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国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFD0901202, 2019YFD0901502)


Analysis of spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the relationship between skipjack tuna fishery and marine environment in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean
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    摘要:

    (Katsuwonus pelamis)是中西太平洋围网捕捞的重要资源, 为探索环境因子对鲣渔获率影响的时空差异, 本文利用中国大陆 2009–2018 年中西太平洋金枪鱼围网渔船渔捞日志数据及相关海洋环境数据, 对标准化后的环境因子及渔获率采用探索性回归、空间自相关分析和地理加权回归模型(geographically weighted regression, GWR) 方法进行时空异质性研究。结果显示: (1)鲣的渔获率具有明显的聚集性, 空间上, 主要存在 2~3 处聚集区, 分别聚集在西侧 152°E~164°E, 3°N~7°S 海域、东侧 164°E~175°E, 5°N~4°S 海域以及第 2 季度中的 175°E~180°E 海域范围; 时间上, 聚集程度依次为: 第 4 季度>第 1 季度>第 2 季度。(2)总体上, 各环境因子对鲣渔获率影响空间异质性程度的大小依次为海平面异常(sea level anomaly, SLA)>混合层深度(mixed layer depth, MLD)>净初级生产力(net primary production, NPP)>海表面温度梯度(sea surface temperature gradient, SSTG)。(3) SLA 和 MLD 对鲣渔获率的负向影响较明显, 是由于表层营养物质丰富海域对应 SLA 和 MLD 的值越小。NPP 和 SSTG 主要为正向影响, 是由于冷暖水交汇的锋面海域受 NPP 和 SSTG 影响较大。(4)检验 GWR 模型, 发现其残差表现出较小的空间自相关, 表明 GWR 模型具有更好的拟合效果, 且优于最小二乘法。

    Abstract:

    Skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) is an important resource for purse seine fishing in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean. In order to explore the spatial and temporal differences in the impact of environmental factors on the fishing rate of skipjack tuna, this paper evaluates the fishing logbook data of tuna purse seine fishing vessels in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean from 2009 to 2018 in mainland China, as well as the corresponding marine environmental data. Exploratory regression analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model are used to explore the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of standardized environmental factors and the fishing rate of skipjack tuna. The results show that: (1) The fishing rate of skipjack tuna has spatial aggregation. In terms of space, there are 2–3 main aggregation areas, which are concentrated in 152°–164°E, 3°N–7°S sea area on the west side, 164°–175°E, 5°N–4°S sea area on the east side, and 175°–180°E sea area in the second quarter. In terms of time, the degree of aggregation had values of fourth quarter>first quarter>second quarter. (2) The spatial heterogeneity degree of the effects of environmental factors on the fishing rate of skipjack tuna had values of sea level anomaly (SLA)>mixed layer depth (MLD)>net primary production (NPP)>sea surface temperature gradient (SSTG). (3) SLA and MLD had significant negative effects on the fishing rate of skipjack tuna because the corresponding values of SLA and MLD were smaller in the surface nutrient-rich areas. NPP and SSTG were mainly positively affected because the frontal where the cold and warm water intersects is greatly affected by these two factors. (4) The GWR model was tested, and it was found that its residuals showed smaller spatial autocorrelation, indicating that the GWR model has a better fitting effect and is better than the ordinary least squares (OLS) method.

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姜珊,杨晓明,朱江峰.中西太平洋金枪鱼围网鲣渔获率与海洋环境关系的时空异质性[J].中国水产科学,2022,29(5):744-754
JIANG Shan, YANG Xiaoming, ZHU Jiangfeng. Analysis of spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the relationship between skipjack tuna fishery and marine environment in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean[J]. Journal of Fishery Sciences of China,2022,29(5):744-754

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-06-13
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