基于CMSY和BSM的东海区重要渔业种类资源评估
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

刘尊雷(1982-),男,硕士,副研究员,研究方向为渔业资源评估与管理.E-mail:liuzl@ecsf.ac.cn

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

S931

基金项目:

农业农村部近海和外海渔业资源调查项目(1999-2019); 东海水产研究所基本业务费-团队项目(2022TD01).


Assessment of commercially exploited fish stocks in the East China Sea using CMSY and BSM analysis
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    有限数据方法(data-limited method)可结合少量易获得数据和相关生物学信息对渔业资源状况、生物学参考点以及生物量等进行评估, 已经成为全球区域性渔业管理组织和资源评估学者的关注热点。本研究采用基于渔获量的最大可持续渔获量(catch-based maximum sustainable yield, CMSY)和基于贝叶斯状态空间的 Schaefer 产量模型 (Bayesian Schaefer production model, BSM)评估了东海区 19 个重要经济种类的资源状况, 并提出了基于最大可持续渔获量(maximum sustainable yield, MSY)的渔业管理建议。结果显示, 19 个种类中有 1 个种类衰竭, 3 个种类严重衰退, 5 个种类过度捕捞, 5 个种类轻度过度捕捞, 5 个种类健康。种群状态长期评估结果表明, 处于生物可持续水平的鱼类种群占比已由 1980 年的 95%下降至 2019 年的 26%。同时对 CMSY 和 BSM 方法的结果进行了比较, 整合单位捕捞努力量渔获量(catch per unit effort, CPUE)数据的 BSM 方法导致了置信区间较宽, 并调节了生物量轨迹的变化形态, 其中 3 个种类的终端相对生物量(the ratio of biomass to the maximum sustainable biomass, B/Bmsy)超过了过度捕捞的评价阈值, 改变了种群状态评判结果, 表明当缺少资源丰度指标时, CMSY 估计的 B/Bmsy 产生了偏差。基于上述研究结果, CMSY 为有限数据渔业种群评估提供了适用的技术方法, 然而, 当渔获量与资源真实状态不一致时会产生较大的偏差, 建议今后应加强渔获量统计的科学性; 此外, 应持续开展独立渔业的科学调查和监测, 尽可能获得资源丰度及生物学数据来提高评估精准性。

    Abstract:

    Stock assessment involves providing scientific and quantitative evaluations to objectively inform fisheries management. However, data limitations are a common challenge for global stock assessments. Many exploited fish stocks in China lack quantitative assessments due to the limitations imposed by the data requirements of conventional stock assessment methods; ultimately, this hinders the advancement of total allowable catch (TAC) systems in China. The catch-based maximum sustainable yield (CMSY) and Bayesian Schaefer production model (BSM) are recently developed methods that are most suited for calculating the intrinsic population growth rate (r), carrying capacity or unexploited stock size (k), maximum sustainable yield (MSY), and other reference points of data for fishery management. Reference points for 19 commercial groups exploited by Chinese fisheries were calculated over time using CMSY and BSM methods by evaluating catch and abundance levels. The results showed that one stock collapsed, three stocks were severely declined, five stocks were overfished, five stocks were slightly overfished, and five stocks were healthy. The long-term assessment of stock status demonstrated that the proportion of stocks at biologically sustainable levels declined from 95% in 1980 to 26% in 2019. We also compared the CMSY and BSM methods. The BSM method, which integrated CPUE data, resulted in wider confidence intervals and moderated the trend of biomass trajectories, with a final exploited biomass relative to the biomass at maximum sustainable yield (B2019/Bmsy) for three stocks that exceeded the overfished threshold. This suggested that CMSY may overestimate or underestimate B/Bmsy depending on the trend of stock abundance. Overall, independent fishery surveys should be conducted to obtain CPUE and biological data to improve assessment accuracy.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

刘尊雷,杨林林,金艳,袁兴伟,张翼,张辉,许敏,程家骅,严利平.基于CMSY和BSM的东海区重要渔业种类资源评估[J].中国水产科学,2023,30(6):735-752
LIU Zunlei, YANG Linlin, JIN Yan, YUAN Xingwei, ZHANG Yi, ZHANG Hui, XU Min, CHENG Jiahua, YAN Liping. Assessment of commercially exploited fish stocks in the East China Sea using CMSY and BSM analysis[J]. Journal of Fishery Sciences of China,2023,30(6):735-752

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-03-30
  • 最后修改日期:2023-05-17
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-08-28
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码