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基于组合物种分布模型的海州湾矛尾虾虎鱼空间分布特征及其影响因素研究
作者:
作者简介:

陈晓琳(1999-),女,硕士研究生,研究方向为渔业资源生态学.E-mail:1831238048@qq.com

中图分类号:

S931

基金项目:

山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2023MD096)


Spatial distribution of Chaeturichthys stigmatias and influence factors in Haizhou Bay based on ensemble species distribution model
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    摘要:

    物种的空间分布能够反映个体在空间上的相互关系, 是物种与环境长期适应和选择的结果, 对物种的生长

    发育和资源利用等都具有显著影响。本研究基于2013—2022 年春季和秋季在海州湾及其邻近海域进行的底拖网调

    查数据, 构建了10 种单一物种分布模型(species distribution model, SDM), 结合真实技巧统计值(true skill statistic,

    TSS)和受试者工作特征曲线下面积值(area under ROCcurve, AUC)筛选预测精度和准确性较优的模型作为基础模型,

    并通过加权的方法分别构建不同季节的组合物种分布模型(ensemble species distribution model, ESDM), 以解析矛

    尾虾虎鱼(Chaeturichthys stigmatias)的空间分布特征及其影响因素。结果表明, ESDM 能够有效降低单一模型预测

    的不确定性, 提高模型预测的精度, 更加准确地解析海州湾矛尾虾虎鱼的空间分布特征。2013—2022 年春季, 矛尾

    虾虎鱼集中分布于海州湾西部近岸和南部海域, 东部和中北部海域分布较少, 分布重心的经度和纬度偏移范围大

    约为1°; 秋季主要分布于海州湾西南部海域, 分布重心呈辐射状小幅度移动。本研究发现, 与矛尾虾虎鱼空间分布

    存在显著相关的影响因子为水深、饵料丰度、底层水温和底层盐度, 其中饵料丰度是春季最重要的影响因子, 水深

    是秋季最重要的影响因子。本研究在区域尺度上解析了海州湾矛尾虾虎鱼的空间分布特征及其分布重心的变化,

    并探讨了影响因子重要性的季节差异, 可为海州湾矛尾虾虎鱼资源的可持续利用提供参考依据。

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陈晓琳,纪云龙,李鹏程,纪毓鹏,徐宾铎,张崇良,任一平,薛莹.基于组合物种分布模型的海州湾矛尾虾虎鱼空间分布特征及其影响因素研究[J].中国水产科学,2024,31(3):343-355
CHEN Xiaolin, JI Yunlong, LI Pengcheng, JI Yupeng, XU Binduo, ZHANG Chongliang, REN Yiping, XUE Ying. Spatial distribution of Chaeturichthys stigmatias and influence factors in Haizhou Bay based on ensemble species distribution model[J]. Journal of Fishery Sciences of China,2024,31(3):343-355

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  • 收稿日期:2023-12-27
  • 最后修改日期:2024-01-29
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