采样设计对广东近海鱼类物种丰富度估计的影响
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作者单位:

1.中国水产科学研究院南海水产研究所, 广东 广州 510300 ;2.农业农村部外海渔业可持续利用重点实验室, 广东 广州 510300 ;3.广东省渔业生态与环境重点实验室, 广东 广州 510300

作者简介:

粟丽(1985-),女,助理研究员,研究方向为海洋渔业生态学.E-mail:suli@scsfri.ac.cn

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中图分类号:

S931

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFD2400402); 广东省基础与应用基础研究基金项目(2025A1515011979); 中国水产科学研究院南海水产研究所基本科研业务费专项资金项目(2025RC01); 中国水产科学研究院中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金项目(2023TD05).


Effects of sampling design on fish species richness estimation in Guangdong coastal waters
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Affiliation:

1.South China Sea Fisheries Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Guangzhou 510300 , China ;2.Key Laboratory for Sustainable Utilization of Open–sea Fishery, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Guangzhou 510300 , China ;3.Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Fishery Ecology and Environment, Guangzhou 510300 , China

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    摘要:

    准确评估海洋生物多样性是渔业管理和生态保护的基础, 而采样设计的优化对提升物种丰富度估计精度至关重要。本研究基于 2014 年 8 月至 2015 年 5 月广东近海四季底拖网调查数据, 采用计算机模拟重抽样技术, 对比分析简单随机采样(SRS)与分层随机采样(StRS)在不同站点数和采样频次下对鱼类物种丰富度估计的影响。结果表明, 物种丰富度探测率在低采样站点数时呈现快速上升趋势, 但随着站点数量的增加, 其增速逐渐减缓。达到 90% 的物种探测率, 全年四季采样需 44 个需采样站点; 实现 80%探测率, 三季采样夏-秋-冬或夏-秋-春组合所需站点数最少, 为 36 个。相对估计误差(REE)和相对偏差(RB)的绝对值均随站点数增加而递减。StRS 的 REE 和 RB 绝对值显著低于 SRS (P<0.05)。剔除稀有种后, 达到 90%探测率所需的样站点数减少至 20 个, 且 REE 和 RB 绝对值也显著降低(P<0.05), 表明稀有种的存在增加了抽样变异性。15 种采样组合的分层采样设计效应(De)均小于 1, 表明 StRS 在广东近海渔业资源调查中具有更高的采样效率, 尤其在采样站点数较少时更为明显。本研究为优化广东近海渔业资源调查的采样设计提供了科学依据, 建议根据监测精度需求与成本约束, 合理选择站点数与季节组合。

    Abstract:

    Accurate assessment of marine biodiversity is fundamental to fisheries management and ecological conservation. Optimizing sampling design is crucial for improving the estimation precision of species richness as an essential biodiversity indicator. Based on seasonal bottom trawl survey data collected from August 2014 to May 2015 in the coastal waters of Guangdong, this study employed computer-simulated resampling techniques to compare the effects of simple random sampling (SRS) and stratified random sampling (StRS) on the estimation of fishery species richness under varying numbers of sampling sites and frequencies. The results showed that the species detection rate increased rapidly with the addition of sampling sites when their number was low, and the increasing rate gradually slowed as the number of sites increased. To achieve a 90% species detection rate, 44 sampling sites were required for year-round seasonal sampling; for an 80% detection rate, the minimum number of sites needed was 36, with the summer-autumn-winter or summer-autumn-spring seasonal combinations being the most efficient. Both the absolute values of relative estimation error (REE) and relative bias (RB) decreased as the number of sampling sites increased. StRS exhibited significantly lower absolute REE and RB values than SRS (P<0.05). After excluding rare species, the number of sites required to achieve a 90% detection rate decreased to 20, and the absolute REE and RB values also declined, indicating that rare species increased sampling variability. The design effects (De) of 15 stratified sampling combinations were all below 1, demonstrating that StRS had higher sampling efficiency in Guangdong coastal fisheries surveys, particularly when the number of sampling sites was limited. This study provides a scientific basis for optimizing sampling designs in Guangdong coastal fisheries surveys, and suggests selecting site numbers and seasonal combinations based on monitoring precision requirements and cost constraints.

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粟丽,许友伟,孙铭帅,张魁,陈作志.采样设计对广东近海鱼类物种丰富度估计的影响[J].中国水产科学,2025,32(7):981-995
SU Li, XU Youwei, SUN Mingshuai, ZHANG Kui, CHEN Zuozhi. Effects of sampling design on fish species richness estimation in Guangdong coastal waters[J]. Journal of Fishery Sciences of China,2025,32(7):981-995

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-17
  • 最后修改日期:2025-07-07
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-10
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