渔业资源评估模型的研究现状与展望
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1. 上海海洋大学, 海洋科学学院, 上海 201306; 2.大洋渔业资源可持续开发省部共建教育部重点实验室, 上海海洋大学, 上海 201306

作者简介:

官文江(1974), 男, 副教授, 研究方向为渔业资源评估. E-mail: wjguan@shou.edu.cn

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S931

基金项目:

国家发改委产业化专项(2159999); 上海市科技创新行动计划项目(12231203900); 上海市水产一流学科项目.


A review of fisheries stock assessment models
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Affiliation:

1. College of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China;2. The Key Laboratory of Sustainable Exploitation of Oceanic Fisheries Resources, Shanghai Ocean University, Ministry of Education, Shanghai 201306, China

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    摘要:

    需对渔业资源进行科学的评估而渔业资源评估模型则是进行渔业资源评估的重要工具。随着计算机计算能力的提高及在多学科交叉的推动下多年来渔业资源评估模型得到了快速发展。随着渔业资源评估模型日益复杂、多样化文章对渔业资源评估模型中存在的问题进行了探讨

    Abstract:

    Development of rational management plans and correct management are essential to maintain the sustainability of fisheries resources. Fisheries management plans should be based on stock assessment and so stock assessment models are important tools for this. Over the last thirty years, fishery stock assessment models experienced a golden age and the number of models grew exponentially with improved computer technology and the integration of multidisciplinary research. At the same time, the complexity and diversity of the models makes choosing the correct one increasingly difficult for researchers and abuse of fisheries models may lead to stock collapse. In this paper, we reviewed fisheries stock assessment model structure, type, and estimators, i.e. fixed effect, random effect, and hierarchical Bayes to identify the typical models currently used in fisheries stock assessment and track their evolution and development. Meanwhile, the present paper discusses the problems with these models and presents prospects for their future development.

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引用本文

官文江,田思泉,朱江峰,陈新军.渔业资源评估模型的研究现状与展望[J].中国水产科学,2013,20(5):1112-1120
GUAN Wenjiang, TIAN Siquan, ZHU Jiangfeng, CHEN Xinjun. A review of fisheries stock assessment models[J]. Journal of Fishery Sciences of China,2013,20(5):1112-1120

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  • 在线发布日期: 2013-09-26
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