基于SPiCT模型对数据有限短生命周期阿根廷滑柔鱼的资源评估
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作者单位:

1. 中国海洋大学 水产学院, 山东 青岛 266003;
2. 青岛海洋科学与技术国家实验室 海洋渔业科学与食物产出过程功能实验室, 山东 青岛 266237;
3. 农业部海洋渔业可持续发展重点实验室, 山东省渔业资源与生态环境重点实验室, 中国水产科学研究院 黄海水产研究所, 山东 青岛 266071;
4. 上海海洋大学海洋科学学院, 上海 201306

作者简介:

韩青鹏(1993-),男,硕士,研究方向为渔业资源.E-mail:qphan@foxmail.com

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中图分类号:

S931

基金项目:

鳌山科技创新计划项目(2015ASKJ02-0504);山东省泰山学者专项基金项目;青岛海洋科学与技术国家实验室鳌山人才培养计划项目(2017ASTCP-ES07).


Application of SPiCT for data-limited stock assessment of short-lived Illex argentinus
Author:
Affiliation:

1. College of Fisheries, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266003, China;
2. Function Laboratory for Marine Fisheries Science and Food Production Processes, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266237, China;
3. Key Laboratory of Sustainable Development of Marine Fisheries, Ministry of Agriculture;Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Fishery Resources and Ecological Environment, Yellow Sea Fisheries Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China;
4. College of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China

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    摘要:

    以西南大西洋阿根廷滑柔鱼()为研究对象,基于连续时间的随机剩余产量模型(a stochastic surplus production model in continuous time,SPiCT),分析了6种方案下参数估计的变化及其对资源评估的影响。对比6种方案中阿根廷滑柔鱼的产量和单位捕捞努力渔获量(catch per unit effort,CPUE)的估计值与观测值间的最小残差平方和,方案3(设置了MSY,渔获量小于最大持续产量MSY,预期平衡生物量EEB大于最大持续产量时的生物量,这表明该资源在2010年尚未被过度开发利用。SPiCT模型综合考虑了环境因子、种群间相互作用和网具选择性等因素引起的观测和过程误差,较S、F-EDSP、S-F-EDSP模型及其他离散模型对数据要求低,计算方法简单,更适合数据有限、短生命周期渔业种类的资源评估。另外,可捕系数将有利于提高其资源评估的准确性。

    Abstract:

    Fisheries-dependent or -independent data are often limited in fisheries stock assessment, particularly for cephalopod populations. Cephalopods are fast-growing and short-lived ecological opportunists, which contributes to the difficulty of swift data collection, as well as presenting the challenge of modeling fast and flexible population dynamics. Consequently, most cephalopod fisheries are currently managed using precautionary approaches without regular stock assessments, although multiple stock assessment models have been used to evaluate many of these stocks. Under these conditions, stock assessment with limited data becomes a problem that must be solved for the adaptive management and sustainable exploitation of cephalopods. is one of the most important economic cephalopods in the world and is mainly distributed in the southwest Atlantic Ocean. It is also one of the important species targeted by China's mainland and Taiwan squid jigging vessels. In this study, we applied a stochastic surplus production model in continuous time (SPiCT) to assess stocks of cephalopod species in data-limited situations, using stock in Argentina as a case study. SPiCT not only models the dynamics of the fisheries and biomass but also incorporates observation error of biomass indices and catches. The model was fitted to time series of catch and biomass index data during the years 2001 to 2010 under six different scenarios of parameterization. Parameter estimates and stock status from different scenarios were then compared to evaluate the impact of parameterization on fisheries stock assessment. Results showed that the optimal parameterization occurred in Scenario 3, which set the prior distributions of based on previous studies. Under this scenario, the stock was neither overfishing nor overfished in 2010, with lower fishing mortality than the fishing mortality under maximum surplus production and higher stock biomass than the stock biomass under maximum surplus production. The annual total catches were lower than the maximum surplus production. Compared with other continuous surplus production models (e.g., S, F-EDSP, and S-F-EDSP), SPiCT turns out to be more suitable for short-lived species in data-limited situations based on this study. In addition, the initialization of catchability coefficient ) estimation of SPiCT. Optimizing the parameterization of I. argentinus, which needs further investigation.

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韩青鹏,单秀娟,关丽莎,金显仕,万荣,陈云龙.基于SPiCT模型对数据有限短生命周期阿根廷滑柔鱼的资源评估[J].中国水产科学,2018,25(1):169-177
HAN Qingpeng, SHAN Xiujuan, GUAN Lisha, JIN Xianshi, WAN Rong, CHEN Yunlong. Application of SPiCT for data-limited stock assessment of short-lived Illex argentinus[J]. Journal of Fishery Sciences of China,2018,25(1):169-177

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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-01-19
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